⚽🌍 Daily Football Top Percents
⚽🌍 Daily Football Top Percents
24-01-2026
All football matches in the world,
all leagues,
Percentage of forecast above <50%
📊 Global Football Insights: Jan 24
Poisson Distribution Matrix | Predictions >50% Probability
🟢 High (>70%)
🟡 Medium (50-69%)
⚽ G: Goal/BTTS
☀️ MORNING & EARLY AFTERNOON
| League | Match | λ (Exp.) | Prob. | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUS A-League | Sydney - Perth | 2.4 - 1.1 | 69% | 1 |
| ENG Champ. | Middlesbrough - Preston | 1.9 - 0.7 | 64% | 1 |
| ENG Champ. | Millwall - Charlton | 1.7 - 1.1 | 54% | 1X + Un 3.5 |
| SCO Cup | Airdrie - Ross County | 1.2 - 2.1 | 58% | 2 |
| ENG Prem | West Ham - Sunderland | 1.8 - 1.2 | 51% | 1X + Ov 1.5 |
🌤️ AFTERNOON PRIME TIME
| League | Match | λ (Exp.) | Prob. | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ENG Prem | Man City - Wolves | 3.1 - 0.6 | 85% | 1 (H-1.5) |
| GER Bund. | Bayern - Augsburg | 3.3 - 0.8 | 87% | 1 + Ov 2.5 |
| GER Bund. | Leverkusen - W. Bremen | 2.6 - 0.9 | 74% | 1 |
| ITA Serie A | Como - Torino | 1.1 - 1.2 | X (34%) | Under 2.5 |
| ENG Prem | Burnley - Spurs | 1.3 - 2.2 | 58% | 2 |
| GER Bund. | Frankfurt - Hoffenheim | 2.1 - 1.6 | 68% (G) | BTTS / Goal |
| ENG Champ. | Leicester - Oxford Utd | 2.3 - 0.8 | 70% | 1 |
| NED Ered. | Ajax - Volendam | 3.0 - 0.7 | 81% | 1 (H-1.5) |
🌙 EVENING & NIGHT SESSIONS
| League | Match | λ (Exp.) | Prob. | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ITA Serie A | Fiorentina - Cagliari | 1.9 - 0.8 | 65% | 1 |
| ENG Prem | Bournemouth - Liverpool | 1.2 - 2.4 | 67% | 2 |
| SPA La Liga | Sevilla - Ath. Bilbao | 1.4 - 1.4 | 55% (G) | BTTS / Goal |
| NED Ered. | PSV - NAC Breda | 3.4 - 0.4 | 89% | 1 (H-2.5) |
| POR Liga | Benfica - Estrela | 2.7 - 0.5 | 82% | 1 (H-1.5) |
| SPA La Liga | Villarreal - Real Madrid | 1.3 - 2.1 | 56% | 2 |
| FRA Ligue 1 | Marseille - Lens | 1.8 - 1.2 | 53% | 1X + Un 3.5 |
| POR Liga | Arouca - Sporting CP | 0.7 - 2.4 | 72% | 2 |
| ITA Serie A | Lecce - Lazio | 1.0 - 1.6 | 49% (2) | X2 + Under 3.5 |
🎯 Editor's Analysis:
The data favors PSV Eindhoven and Bayern Munich as the strongest locks of the day (both >85%). For value hunters, the Frankfurt vs Hoffenheim match shows a high Poisson density in the "Both Teams to Score" quadrant (68%).
🌍 Sunday Jan 25: The Ultimate List
Expanded Poisson Data | 35+ Matches Analyzed
☀️ MORNING & LUNCH SLOTS
| League | Match | λ Exp. | Prob. | Model Tip |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | Sassuolo - Cremonese | 1.9 - 0.9 | 53% | 1 |
| La Liga | Atl. Madrid - Mallorca | 2.1 - 0.4 | 78% | 1 + No Goal |
| SuperLig (TUR) | Fenerbahce - Sivasspor | 2.6 - 0.7 | 74% | 1 (H-1) |
| Championship | Sunderland - Hull City | 1.8 - 1.1 | 55% | 1X |
| Serie A | Atalanta - Parma | 2.4 - 0.8 | 70% | 1 |
| A-League | Melbourne V. - Brisbane | 2.0 - 1.3 | 61% | Over 2.5 |
🌤️ AFTERNOON ACTION
| League | Match | λ Exp. | Prob. | Model Tip |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | Barcelona - Oviedo | 3.5 - 0.3 | 88% | 1 (H-2.5) |
| Premier League | Arsenal - Man Utd | 2.1 - 1.2 | 62% | 1 |
| Bundesliga | Mainz - Leverkusen | 1.1 - 2.3 | 67% | 2 |
| Eredivisie | Feyenoord - Heracles | 2.9 - 0.5 | 81% | 1 (H-1.5) |
| Championship | Leeds - Coventry | 2.2 - 0.9 | 68% | 1 |
| Scottish Cup | Rangers - Dundee | 2.6 - 0.6 | 79% | 1 (H-1) |
| Ligue 1 | Lyon - Strasbourg | 1.9 - 1.3 | 54% | 1X + Ov 1.5 |
| Serie A | Juventus - Napoli | 1.4 - 1.3 | 61% (U) | Under 2.5 |
🌙 NIGHT SESSIONS
| League | Match | λ Exp. | Prob. | Model Tip |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | Roma - Milan | 1.5 - 1.6 | 58% (G) | BTTS (Goal) |
| La Liga | Girona - Getafe | 1.8 - 0.8 | 59% | 1 |
| Portugal Liga | Porto - Moreirense | 2.5 - 0.5 | 78% | 1 (H-1) |
| Liga MX | Monterrey - Juarez | 2.2 - 0.8 | 69% | 1 |
| SuperLig (TUR) | Galatasaray - Samsun | 2.4 - 0.9 | 71% | 1 |
| Ligue 1 | Lille - Strasbourg | 2.0 - 1.0 | 63% | 1 |
| Belgian Pro | Genk - Westerlo | 2.3 - 1.2 | 64% | Over 2.5 |
| Serie A | Lazio - Udinese | 1.7 - 0.9 | 56% | 1 |
| Portugal Liga | Braga - Alverca | 2.3 - 0.6 | 75% | 1 (H-1) |
🎯 Sunday's Best Accumulator Pick:
Combining Barcelona (88%), Porto (78%), and Feyenoord (81%) creates a triple threat with a combined mathematical confidence of 55.6% at significantly higher total odds. For a single high-value outcome, watch the Atletico Madrid clean sheet probability.
